Dragon Shiner Bow Crafting Project (statistical record)

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by FeiLongHuang, Jun 19, 2021.

  1. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    I'm going to start my crafting project for Dragon Shiner Bow to earn a clean WAtk 110. This thread will serve as the platform to keep track of crafting progress.

    ================================================================
    Status: Back to gathering funds
    (Last updated: 29 April 2023)
    Shopping list: Fei's Shopping List
    Selling thread: Fei's Store
    ================================================================

    The known probability factors for clean perfect craft are as follows:
    - Bow production stimulator, 9/10 chance for successful craft
    - Base stats variation, 1/11 chance for +5 WAtk
    - God-roll trigger, 1/20 chance for initiating god-roll
    - God-roll stats variation, 1/6 chance for +5 WAtk

    The full range of probability listed as follows:
    upload_2023-4-29_15-23-22.png
    upload_2021-6-19_11-57-32.png

    The materials and cost for crafting as follows:
    upload_2021-6-19_12-7-46.png

    All bows crafted will be sold in the market using the following price table below, margin multiplier applied to cover some of the cost of grey quality bow and unsuccessful craft. Weapon attack <100 will not be placed in stores, however if you're interested to get them off my hands please contact me.
    (Unfortunately, unless there is a lucky surplus craft, the perfect bow will not be for sale)
    upload_2023-4-29_15-37-46.png

    Results:
    27/06/2021: 105 (1) ; 100 (3) ; 97 (2) ; 96 (4)
    08/08/2021: 105 (1) ; 104 (1) ; 102 (2) ; 100 (1) ; 98 (1) ; 97 (1) ; 96 (2) ; Boom (1)
    06/09/2021: 104 (1) ; 103 (1) ; 102 (1) ; 100 (1) ; 98 (1) ; 97 (1) ; 96 (2) ; Boom (2)
    08/04/2023: 103 (1) ; 102 (1) ; 100 (2) ; 99 (1) ; 96 (2) ; Boom (3)
    22/04/2023: 104 (1) ; 103 (1) ; 102 (1) ; 99 (2) ; 98 (3) ; 97 (1) ; Boom (1)

    upload_2023-4-22_15-21-0.png
     

    Attached Files:

    Last edited: Apr 29, 2023
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  2. DayHime
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    DayHime Donator

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    Thats pretty cool! Good luck
     
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  3. CreamGoddess
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    Good luck! :D
     
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  5. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    2nd sets of DSB is out. Within expectation no godly range has been created yet.
     
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  6. AdamBrone
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    Good luck bro, I perfected a 109 att shiner bow years ago when I still played the game. I think I found it on a horntail run if I remember correctly. Have a splendid journey!
     
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  7. UAE
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    S>109 Wa Clean Dragon Shiner Bow
     
  8. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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  9. UAE
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    thanks alot !
     
  10. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    2 booms from this round. And somehow that value 96 likes me ~imboss
     
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  11. Javier
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    I used to be on this mythical search several years ago hoping for a 113 dragon shiner cross... I once had about 20 of dragon shiner xbows laying around on my inventory that I didn't want to get rid of nor sell but eventually gave away to low level guys and gals around KPQ or Lith Harbor.

    I ended up sticking with a 125 dark neschere one of my close friends gave me before quitting. It's still my main weapon and will be until that clean 113 dragon shiner cross comes to me... and with it, the hell that implies scrolling it.

    thrilling!

    best of lucks on this journey!
     
  12. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    Indeed, it will be one hell of a journey ~f13
     
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  13. ImVeryJelly
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    Gotta change the god roll trigger to 1/20 for statistics
     
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  14. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for the notice, seems I missed the Sep-2022 staff blog. I'll update the calculations chart later :)
     
  15. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    Calculation updated.
    Dear god, 1/20 (aka 0.05%) god roll trigger rate is a nightmare for crafting ^_^'
     
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  16. AxlPrototype
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    While the results you get there shouldn't be added to the crafting statistics for obvious reasons, do you gach in Henesys as well for the possibility of getting the perfect clean DSB?
     
  17. FeiLongHuang
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    FeiLongHuang Well-Known Member

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    Nah, no gach results.
    Gach probability rate would be slightly different as the "Boom" rate would not be considered.

    For gacha, not considering the rate of pulling the actual DSB:
    1/11 * 1/20 * 1/6 = 0.075% (average 1 godly perfect for each 1320 DSB pulls)
    [In theory, this rate should also applies to average loot from hunting: 1/1320 drop rate among DSB loots]

    Assuming this estimated value is accurate enough, multiply again with the rate of pulling any DSB among the selected gacha pools, that'll be the # of gacha pulls on average to expect a perfect DSB.
    And from there one can expect the average cost of NX required. [Fellow gambas, happy gacha-ing upload_2023-5-6_21-24-20.png ]
     
    Last edited: May 6, 2023
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