1000 Red Envelop run, are they worth it?

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by PeachyPandaPop, Feb 23, 2024.

  1. PeachyPandaPop
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    PeachyPandaPop Well-Known Member

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    So I decided to open 1000 red envelopes today, here are the results.
    [​IMG]

    157,400NX equals
    35*5 + 5 = 180 tickets

    Based on https://royals.ms/forum/threads/100...apon-logging-the-results.192538/#post-1234838
    1000 tickets = 5b approximately
    so 180 tickets = 900,000,000 mesos in gain

    Since total Meso spent is 733,530,000
    total gain from buying 1000 red envelope at 900k Each is around: 166,470,000
    Can probably push it a little higher if I buy the envelops at a cheaper price.
     

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  2. Restyler
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    Restyler Well-Known Member

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    Me reading this after just having sold my entire stack of red envelopes last night for 650k ea.

    [​IMG]
     
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  3. TotalEclipse
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    TotalEclipse Well-Known Member

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    I tried a 600 envelopes run a couple of days ago and got around 70m and 65k nx.
    Perhaps I should sell the future envelopes instead
     
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  4. Germy
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    Germy Well-Known Member

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    To add on, I did a 3000 ticket run today. I think, either you got really lucky on the NX or I got really unlucky for 3 rounds of 1000. :admincry:

    1st 1000:
    Mesos gained: 172,955,000
    NX gained: 107,950

    2nd 1000:
    Mesos gained: 164,380,000
    NX gained: 99,100

    3rd 1000:
    Mesos gained: 180,470,000
    NX gained: 98,700


    Total gain:
    Mesos: 517,805,000
    NX: 305,750

    Based on your calculations, assuming:

    1. 900k per RE
    2. 1000 gacha tickets = 5b

    Total spent: 2.7b
    Total Gachapon tickets bought: 351
    Estimated value: 1.755b
    Mesos gained: 517,805,000

    Total net position will be: -427,195,000

    tl;dr, proceed with caution, will still need some luck to breakeven.
     
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2024
  5. ImVeryJelly
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    ImVeryJelly Donator

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    My information from last year suggested 10k NX per 100 envelope so yours is probably the normal one.
     
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  6. itu
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    itu Well-Known Member

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    agree OP got really lucky, I was disappointed with my 580 envelope run but it's the only way to buy gacha tickets with meso so...

    580 red envelopes
    meso total 91m
    nx:
    72x100
    15x1000
    5x5000
    19x250
    total 51 950 nx
     
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  7. TunaBelly
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    TunaBelly Donator

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    I wonder if OP is big brain... and hes just a farmer trying to rig up RE prices...
    download.jpg
     
    Last edited: Feb 27, 2024
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  8. TotalEclipse
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    TotalEclipse Well-Known Member

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    Did yoy get some goodies from gacha at least? Except of one stone tiger head that didn't cover half the cost I got only useless items.
    And 2 str maple leaves on a priest ‍♂️
     
  9. itu
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    itu Well-Known Member

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    I value gacha somewhat high for getting the face accessory maple leaf, otherwise gachaing at the best ones like cbd/nlc/shrine is like 4-5m/1knx
     
  10. FriendlyDD
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    FriendlyDD Well-Known Member

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    850 tickets:
    61,350 NX
    142M
     
  11. XTC
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    XTC Donator

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    roughly 870-890 RE
    122,350 nx
    170m
     
  12. RazumDar
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    RazumDar Donator

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    My RE run:

    11 RE
    Cost: 8,800,000 mesos
    Payout: 110,000 mesos, 10,000 NX

    Based on these results we can conclude that each RE is worth 909 NX, or approximately 3m.

    Anyways, with that in mind I'm going to stop there and S> the rest of my RE, 2m each! What a deal!
     
  13. loaf
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    loaf Well-Known Member

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    884 RE -> 126.5m + 112.7k NX
     
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  14. xClaude
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    xClaude Well-Known Member

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    lets revive this thread :

    I opened 1026 Red Envelopes
    Got 189mil Mesos / 140k NX
     
  15. TheRealMVP2
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    TheRealMVP2 Active Member

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    So at a valuation of 1k NX = 4m
    Total earned: 189m + 140 * 4m = 749m
    Divided 1.026 (total envelopes) = 749/1.026 = 730k per envelope aprox. valuation.

    Good to know, at 1k nx = 3.5m it would be 662k per envelope.
     
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  16. xClaude
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    xClaude Well-Known Member

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    I bought these at 700k each so it will require some luck to be even/profit from those
     
  17. xClaude
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    xClaude Well-Known Member

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    Coming back for 2026 REs
    1. 1103 first REs : 193m + 126600 NX

    2. 1100 next RE : 223m + 99150NX

    3. 1100 REs : 193m + 117450 NX

    4. 1122 REs: 170m + 79000 NX
    Total : 4425 Res for 422200 NX and 779.5m

    expected loss : ~~1110m
     
  18. A1MoG
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    A1MoG Donator

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    this is def lame.
    RE are not worth it, and can serve only as a method to trade mesos -> nx, at a cost of losing mesos.

    Thanks for re-testing this at 2026.
     
  19. TakeItEasy
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    TakeItEasy Donator

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    This was always (and always will be) the case.
    And people would keep on buying them because they are addicted to gambling.
    Also, nothing about it is lame, the value of RE is purely depends on supply and demand, the fact that you are loosing meso opening it is purely because people are willing to loose meso opening it.
     
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  20. wigglesb
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    wigglesb Well-Known Member

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    I made a 2206 run was around 590k per RE for if i take the nx divide by 3100 and multiply by 10.5m as per APR. I guess thats ok although it was still better to sell them. But i needed APRs, so the hastle to sell and then buy APRs was worth it for me.
     

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