not doing any vl for bon for a full 1 week air is fresh soil is moist the forest is whispering between foggy mountains RNGs are being fucked
We have 1500+ auf-ed characters during this 2-3 years This is based on the 2 facts: - As far as i've heard/i've known, there are at least 3 players who finished their auf helmet with less than 100 miracle scrolls in the past 2-3 years, and many more finished in under 150 scrolls like nothing unusual - In theory, the chance to finish auf helmet in under 100 scrolls is 0.197%, as shown below using Negative Binomial Distribution (11.297% to finish under 150 scrolls) by 3/0.00197 we get 1522 The "Beginner's Luck" theory - The server wants to retain newer players by giving them better RNG on certain activities - One of those is the WS+10% pass rate - A player has a favourable WS+10% pass rate(means, more than 10%) before they have finished X slots on any item in their whole maplelife - Therefore, if you plan to scroll an auf helmet, the most cost-efficient way is to never WS+10% on any other items before you start your WS+10% journey from auf helmet ... ........ I have totally no data on how many ws10 slots those who got luck on auf helm have finished before their auf helm hahahhaha but I invite you whoever have finished auf to share your data 11/100(260425) + 8/100(260530) + 1/?(surely before smoke nerfed) finished 25+ slots on random items before this
free bump to your selling thread. I highly doubt if it's realistic that there are 1500 finished auf helms. Also from an experimental perspective, your data should come with a large error bar. 1. There is not enough MIR for 1500 auf helms. Right now (6:15 servertime, 23:15 California time, and afternoon in Asia), there are only 2 auf channels taken (10%). From my experience, most of the time (like >80%), the auf channel I use is not taken. Neo Tokyo was released in Nov. 2019, 6.5 years from now. Suppose: 1/4 of the time an auf channel is taken Spoiler: actually lower than 1/4 ^ channel free ^ channel taken ^ it's possible that people were sleeping in ch 3. They exited at 13:42. on average an auf run takes 60 min mir drop rate 90% There will be 256,230 mir's. On average, that would be 1281 finished auf helms. If there are 1500 finished auf helms, mir should be in super high demand. 2. "there are at least 3 players who finished their auf helmet with less than 100 miracle scrolls in the past 2-3 years" is very high experimental error. If you estimate with binomial distribution you will need to do the experiment thousands of times to accurately measure the probability. For example, event X happens with 0.197% probability. If you want to estimate the probability within 20% error (0.197% ± 0.0394%) with 95% confidence, the sample size should be 48,700 (total finished auf helms), and event X should happen about 96 times, much larger than 3.
Goby leecher, a mysterious creature. Little is known about them but there is a few... They are super rich. dickdann, nayuki, donnie, tom, skull, and so on, who these noobs? mage farmers? noob af. A goby leecher makes 3b meso a day, 1b per hour. look at the otf guy who built a whole factory just to barely reach 1b/hr and got banned, what a joke. Goby leechers always strive to be a cool guy. They will never do: - They will never use AI when creativity is required. - They will never break the event rules because no one will know. - They will never get mad for no reason. When there seems to be disagreement or friction in a conversation, the first thing they will do they will always look back at themselves, reflect if they have said something wrong. They always check self before resorting to emotion. - They will never get triggered because they have a gf out of 21474.83647km from the context got insulted by a joke, when the speaker has 0 clue that gf exists. They clearly know the context they have built up with the group has nothing to do with gf and they are aware that the speaker is speaking to them, not their gf. - They will never be the first one who takes joke seriously. - They will never carry out a long-term plan to troll someone because of the historical hatred and wounds that they failed to resolve by themselves. - They will never justify their trolling to a person A with the reason that they feel person B is trolling them and person A and B have friendship. - Since they are pro leechers, they will never leech on guilds to cleanup the mess they've made - they always take their own responsibility to solve the issue, without the help of middlemans. "hey I'm getting rid of this shit, I've done my best and I'll leave the rest to you guys, bye~" - nononono they never do this, they know it's not cool. - They will never use guilds to tank all the bullets for them. - They will never share too much personal backstory even if it's crucial part to explain the rationale behind their plot - they know they should be confident and proud of what they've done. With strict discipline they live up to their names as the #1 richest top elites of the hall. Want to become a pro? JOIN GOBY LEECH RIGHT NOW!
