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Discussion in 'Selling' started by Gossamer, May 6, 2015.

  1. Gossamer
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    Gossamer Donator

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    Closed.
     
    Last edited: May 25, 2015
  2. OldOwl
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    OldOwl Donator

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  3. mystercool
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    mystercool Well-Known Member

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    hmm very tempting... when are you selling it by?
     
  4. jesus menendez
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    jesus menendez Well-Known Member

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    buy 33 int for 800m doros clean is 7 int
     
  5. Gossamer
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    Assuming you are stating that no one should be bidding 1b on such an item, and that the max it should sell for is 800m, I shall explain the maths.



    it costs, on average, 690m to land 2 30s in a row on a 9 int doros.

    It takes, on average, about 10 doros's. If I value them at 25m each, which is low, that's 250m, plus the 12 30% scrolls it takes (on average), which is 420m.

    420m+250m = 690m

    Then we take the 3 70% scroll I used after that. That leaves us with a 38% chance that it will boom after the 2 30%s have already landed. So, on average, it takes 1.6 2x30% doros robes (690m each) + the cost of about 4.5 70%s.

    1.6 x 690m = 1.104b

    1.104b + 67.5m = 1.1715b

    Then we add the price of the last 5 60% scrolls = 120m

    1.1715b+120m = 1.2915b.

    So, on average, it takes 1.2915b to scroll such an item. And the result of the scrolling, in this case, in which I failed only a single 60% scroll, is above average.

    So, if it costs 1.2b to scroll - and if I even scrolled it above average - why, then, should it cost 800m?

    ESPECIALLY if a a 24 int bathrobe can sell for 700m+.

    Where did you pull 800m from?
     
    Andreas likes this.

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