Consecutive 9 fails of scrolls on pirate hat?!!

After finally getting a pirate hat, I trade for some special scrolls for pirate hat from the NPC 'Cody Wizet Wizard' using the token for PQ.

But ALL 7 scrolls for pirate hat failed!

I was so annoyed and threw away the hat. I did another 50 rounds of the PQ and got another pirate hat, but then consecutive 2 fails from scrolls for pirate hat!!

The probability is ridiculously low for this consecutive 9 fails on hat. So I just use some common 60% scrolls for hat then.

Does this happen to someone too??

 

Welcome to maplestory, hope you enjoy your stay

 

If 9 scrolls were used with 60% scrolls, and “none worked” means all 9 failed, then the odds are:


0.4^9

Because each scroll has a 40% chance to fail.


0.4^9 = 0.000262144

So the probability is:

• 0.0262144%
• about 1 in 3,815

So it is rare, but absolutely possible. Have you considered buying the opposite of a lottery ticket?

 

Over the last 2 years I have failed about 12 white scrolls in a row, rough out here boys

 

Only 12?

 

I just fail 6x cs/ws in a row on a 9/5 bfc then -5 on 7th gg

 

I'm saving up to do a batch of like 16 and hoping at least 2 pass . U guys making me cry out here

 

So I guess the success of scrolls on your gear is not a true random event.

The game could have some scheme like design back there.

 

Computers can't produce true random events on general. But the random in this game is random (as best as a computer can do)

 

I think I have passed more 30s than I have 60s

 

You mean insurance