500 tickets Gachapon run

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by Allyndus, Sep 18, 2015.

  1. Allyndus
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    Allyndus Donator

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    So I started playing Royals a couple months before this, then I stopped because I was too lazy to grind, however I continued to vote.

    As of right now, I have enough NX for 500 Gachapon tickets, but I'm still level 40 (sucks eh? ><).

    Anyways, I'm planning on doing a Gacha run at these locations once I hit 50:
    - Mushroom Shrine
    - New Leaf City
    - Singapore CBD
    (Any other suggestions is welcome, but from what I've heard those 3 spots give you the best chance to get good items/scrolls).

    Following the gacha, since I have a wide sample size, I will most likely record the whole event then make a chart showing percentages of getting certain scrolls and items out of 100 tickets or more. Mushroom Shrine gacha analysis, New Leaf, CBD, etc...

    If any of you are interested to (patiently) see me gacha all 500 tickets then feel free to leave a comment below. You guys shall be my motivation to grind till 50!!! I know it sounds ridiculous that I am taking forever to reach 50 but hey, I have other priorities in life :p

    I'm doing this 1) out of curiosity, 2) because I have never done something like this before, and 3) for the entertainment/benefit of the Royals community. I appreciate the effort GMs and admins are putting in to give people like us an old, nostalgic feel of MapleStory. Thanks for reading and Happy Royal-ing!
     
  2. Haul
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    Haul Donator

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    Over the summer, I saved approximately 400-600k NX and ran gach at few places like you mentioned. I probably got around 500m in total since I moved around places. If I were you, I would stick with one place (Shrine) and gach it.
     
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  3. Quibleez
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    Quibleez Well-Known Member

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    Kerning for the 60 attack purple sleeve : ez.
     
  4. Yan
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    Since you are a "new" player, Don't risk for any bullshit perfect weapons, cause they could take over 500 to get.
    My suggestion is to stick with Mushroom shrine to the death.
    Why?
    Kerning = Thief equips + Pink cape. ( a 57+ claw will be super hard to get and not worth the tickets cause you are new, and you need every mesos you could get )
    Shrine would give you many scrolls. GL !
     
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  5. Allyndus
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    Hmm, so should I do 250 NLC and 250 Shrine or 500 Shrine?
    From the replies CBD doesn't sound very optimal
     
  6. leoye123
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    leoye123 Well-Known Member

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    I would do 500 Shrine or 500 Kerning IMO.

    Honestly, I would do kerning. Shrine will get you more money sure, but do you really want a sell a bunch of scrolls everyday?

    Go big or go home. With 500 tickets at kerning, you are guaranteed 5-10 Pink capes and 5-10 dragon sleeves. (rough estimate) Of those items, there is a small chance that one of them will be godly. This will net you 5 - 30 BILLION mesos.

    If you plan on playing this server for a while then go Shrine. If you are a man who takes risks, go Kerning.

    Edit: NLC is also go big or go home. EZ 10+ White scrolls
     
  7. Allyndus
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    Allyndus Donator

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    Can you give me an example of a godly pink cape and dragon sleeve? Like the wa.

    I feel like I'm just gonna do go big or go home. If this nets me something big then it'll give me a reason to continue playing, otherwise I can always focus on other stuff in real life. Thanks for the advice!
     
  8. leoye123
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    leoye123 Well-Known Member

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    Maple0001.jpg

    This is a 9 att CLEAN pink cape. This is the highest possible. This was sold for 5 Billion which I promptly blew away on chaos scrolls.

    A pink cape can range from 1-9 att. However, the chances of a 5+ att pink cape is insanely low. The odds are .00165% according to my estimate. That is 1 in approximately 600 tickets. Since my numbers are not accurate, and due to variance, it is possible that it is even rarer. It is very possible to not get one even with 6000 tickets.

    [(*I calculated this as X times Y times Z times E times 5.
    X = 2% - chance of gaching a pink cape
    Y = 50% - chance of pink cape being a high attack (3-4)
    Z = 10% - chance of pink cape having godly stats
    E = 33% - chance of godly stat increasing the att on the pink cape
    5 - 5 possible outcomes, 5 att, 6 att, 7 att, 8 att, 9 att)]

    A perfect godly purple dragon sleeve is 60 att. None exists on the server at the moment to my knowledge. Some pros estimate it to be worth 30 BILLION.

    (That is 30,000,000,000. You can buy over 100 White scrolls. You will treat money like nothing. In comparison, my lvl 123 DK has 50,000,000 mesos and 1,000,000,000 in equips. I've played for 4 months. You will have 30 times my account. Donald Trump has a net worth of $4,000,000,000. You will be 7 times richer than Donald Trump in mesos.

    A 59 att sleeve is worth several billion depending on the luk. Idk how I would calculate the odds of gaching one, but I would estimate it about 1 in 5000 or .0002%. A ridiculously low figure. Might as well buy lottery tickets.
     
    Last edited: Sep 20, 2015
  9. inversion
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    inversion Well-Known Member

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    godly system ranges from 0 to +5 so there are six possible outcomes, not 5. 60 att clean purple sleeves do exist, i am aware of four of them. they also don't go for 30b, i bought one for 4.5b although it had slow luk.

    kerning is jackpot or nothing. i've gotten an 8 att clean cape there with 70 tickets, and on a different run i've gotten ~20m total worth of stuff with over 200 tickets. if its go big or go home, go there. but be aware that 500 tickets isn't as many as it sounds, so don't be surprised to get screwed over hard if you go to kerning
     
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  10. Allyndus
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    If NLC is also go big or go home (According to leoyo123), then how does it fare compared to Kerning? The only reason I won't do Shrine (which I think is a strong reason) is that I don't want to go through all the troubles of selling the scrolls.
     
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  11. inversion
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    inversion Well-Known Member

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    you're much more likely to get a white scroll than to get a godly pgc or sleeve. kerning's pgc is comparable to a white scroll but if it's not 4 att then it isn't worth as much. you can also hit the jackpot at nlc with a godly stonetooth, but if you don't get one it's not a big deal if you got a good amount of white scrolls. at kerning you may be able to get 4 att clean capes and 30% claw att but that's it other than jackpot

    these are the only places i consider when i gacha (i don't know enough about singapore but i know it is somewhat popular)

    shrine: good chance of 5-30m items, small chance of 300m item (chaos), no real jackpot
    nlc: small chance of 300m item (WS), jackpot: 1b+ (godly st)
    kerning: small chance of 20-400m items, jackpot: 2b+ (godly sleeve/pgc)
    showa: good chance of 15-70m items, small chance of 100-300m item, jackpot: 1b+ (godly ski)
     
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  12. Allyndus
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    If you're information is accurate, seems to me then showa is the best place? Since at lowest there is a good chance 15-70m items, higher would be 100-300m, highest 1b+ compared to others.
     
  13. Dupreeh
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    @Allyndus GL with those 500 gachas , i tried the same strat like you saving nx and going big in Shrine but i always have bad luck and only won like 200m with 300 gacha , wish you get good things :D
     
  14. Dapper
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    For me, the allure of Showa is the chance to get a Maple Leaf. Let's say you land a 8-10 DEX leaf, that saves you potentially a billion mesos from having to buy a comparable face equip.

    But it's also got an infuriate rate of melting cheese and elixirs. My last 70 ticket Showa run netted 1 shield matk 60%, 4 scrolls in the 20-30 mil range, a 91 atk ski, and maybe about 10 other items that were worth just enough to merchant.

    IMO Sleepywood is very underrated. I might be biased since my 35 ticket run there gave me 500 mil, but it's gives you the same chance at a Maple Leaf, and yields BVM (~270 mil), Raccoon Mask (~110mil), Black Sack (~60 mil but prices are rising), an exclusive Warrior Throne among other cool stuff.
     
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  15. inversion
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    inversion Well-Known Member

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    Showa is my favorite, I've spent the majority of my tickets there. like @Dappered said, it gives out maple leaf as well which is nice. up to you in the end, and I'm also still looking for 104 skis so I am a bit biased but I would do Showa. it's given me good money so far
     
  16. Stan
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    Kerning > Showa
    (At least kerning has npc value...)
     
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  17. inversion
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    inversion Well-Known Member

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    true, 60% shield matt/att, face avoid, ear int, helm int/dex have terrible npc rates :p
     
  18. ImCanadian
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    I personally think showa/shrine are probably the best gaches. Don't go nlc, it's not as good as it seems. Showa is really good because it gives out maple leafs (face accessory).
     
  19. inversion
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    inversion Well-Known Member

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    have you done this yet? id love to hear the results
     
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  20. Michael
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    Unless you are specifically talking about clean 60atk Dragon Purple Sleeves, I'd like to correct you; there are at least two out there. I also wish to know which "pros" made this appraisal, seeing as I'm unwilling to believe anyone would price a clean weapon equal to about a 20atk Facestomper/25atk PGC.

    That ties into the topic; if you haven't done this run yet... Shrine is the best consistent money, takes very little luck to actually make money, and if you are lucky, you'll make a lot. Showa/Kerning are higher risk, higher reward; I've probably done 150 tickets or so in the last week at Showa and have next to nothing to show for it aside from one 96atk Sky Ski and one 6dex Maple Leaf... but if you find some 98+atk Sky Skis, 4+atk PGCs, a 58+ Dragon Purple Sleeve or a 22atk Dragon Khanjar, there are buyers who will pay top dollar.

    That's my opinion based off my own experiences over the last two years or so.
     
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