Latest Failure Thread

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by maggles, Sep 30, 2013.

  1. liomio
    Offline

    liomio Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2015
    Messages:
    582
    Likes Received:
    1,507
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Liomio
    Level:
    162
    Learn2dummy
     
    GDLee, Alexi, bassoine and 2 others like this.
  2. xFishy
    Offline

    xFishy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2015
    Messages:
    624
    Likes Received:
    1,336
    Gender:
    Female
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Jennn
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Radio ♪ ♬
    I was probably too drunk when I posted.

    It's 1/20***

    goodbye mesos.
     
    PaoPao, Seductive Love and Alexi like this.
  3. Seductive Love
    Offline

    Seductive Love Donator

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2016
    Messages:
    661
    Likes Received:
    734
    Location:
    Under Your Bed
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Immortal
    Level:
    1xx
    Guild:
    Oblivion
    That's the best way to scroll.
     
    xFishy likes this.
  4. Shein
    Offline

    Shein Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 6, 2014
    Messages:
    490
    Likes Received:
    387
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    My house
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Lusho
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    ~
    When i did Dummy i got 2/22, while without it 3/10
     
    Sekiryuutei and eugenekhor like this.
  5. Nessi
    Offline

    Nessi Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2014
    Messages:
    2,301
    Likes Received:
    16,167
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Israel
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    LuckyLook
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    #Fryslan
    lrn2dummy then :p
     
    ginwolf, Mrkaren, PaoPao and 3 others like this.
  6. Ruffle
    Offline

    Ruffle Donator

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2016
    Messages:
    189
    Likes Received:
    78
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    RuffleV
    Guild:
    Acme
    Got bored and did about 100 GFA 10% scrolls and got 4 to work. My worst was having 1/34.
    Screen Shot 2016-07-27 at 3.24.17 PM.png
     
    VitaLemonade likes this.
  7. Lomo
    Offline

    Lomo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 29, 2014
    Messages:
    208
    Likes Received:
    642
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Lomo
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Fryslan
    Dummy scrolling is for dummies.
    [​IMG]

    The chance of a scroll succeeding or failing has no relation to any scrolls previously used. Unless you somehow can predict RNG of course. Also I am not a statistician so if I am incorrect, please speak up. But if it makes you feel better, #lrn2dummy

    *Created a Thread on this topic if you are interested in contributing.
    https://royals.ms/forum/threads/dummy-scrolling.73527/#post-380283
     
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2016
    yellowblue, StrickBan and William like this.
  8. liomio
    Offline

    liomio Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2015
    Messages:
    582
    Likes Received:
    1,507
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Liomio
    Level:
    162
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_toward_the_mean
     
    GDLee likes this.
  9. Lomo
    Offline

    Lomo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 29, 2014
    Messages:
    208
    Likes Received:
    642
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Lomo
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Fryslan
    I am still not convinced (also I do not have time to read a wall of text so I will quote the first sentence) "is the phenomenon that if a variable is extreme on its first measurement, it will tend to be closer to the average on its second measurement" so the next RNG of a 10% scroll will be closer to a 10% chance than the first one? This makes sense, but also does not explain why a 10% scroll would seemingly have a higher chance of working after many fail in a row. It only states that the next scroll will regress towards the average, aka 10% chance?
    *I am also watching this video if anyone else would like to check it out
    **This topic is actually quite interesting, but if I am understanding it correctly my first point is still valid.
    ***Created a Thread on this topic if you are interested in contributing.
    https://royals.ms/forum/threads/dummy-scrolling.73527/#post-380283
     
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2016
  10. Nicko
    Offline

    Nicko Donator

    Joined:
    May 5, 2014
    Messages:
    910
    Likes Received:
    2,218
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Himeragi
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Honour
    and thats why u suck ass at scrolling
     
    Robi, Tomfoolery, Alexi and 3 others like this.
  11. Martin
    Offline

    Martin Donator

    Joined:
    Dec 3, 2015
    Messages:
    858
    Likes Received:
    2,569
    IGN:
    Alumina
    Level:
    160
    Thats what they want you to think :^)
     
    Seductive Love likes this.
  12. Lomo
    Offline

    Lomo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 29, 2014
    Messages:
    208
    Likes Received:
    642
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Lomo
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Fryslan
     
    Martin likes this.
  13. Eli
    Offline

    Eli Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2013
    Messages:
    3,676
    Likes Received:
    15,455
    Location:
    ht n chill
    IGN:
    Hannako
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Oblivion
    used echo......... where did it go ......

    see the delete key
    [​IMG]
     
    Aerith, xxTuzixx, Kivin and 4 others like this.
  14. Zenoooo
    Offline

    Zenoooo Donator

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2015
    Messages:
    1,228
    Likes Received:
    669
    Gender:
    Female
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Jan 2015
    Level:
    -
    Guild:
    Oct 2017
    After 40 Lily, I got this

    upload_2016-7-28_18-33-6.png


    and failed it :'(

    upload_2016-7-28_18-34-2.png
     

    Attached Files:

    VitaLemonade, Dapper, Tardex and 2 others like this.
  15. Seductive Love
    Offline

    Seductive Love Donator

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2016
    Messages:
    661
    Likes Received:
    734
    Location:
    Under Your Bed
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Immortal
    Level:
    1xx
    Guild:
    Oblivion
  16. Inusama
    Offline

    Inusama Donator

    Joined:
    Mar 26, 2015
    Messages:
    1,704
    Likes Received:
    5,469
    Gender:
    Male
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Inusama
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Oblivion
  17. Bizq
    Offline

    Bizq Donator

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2014
    Messages:
    239
    Likes Received:
    166
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Lima
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Bizq
    Level:
    14x
    Pap too stronk

    [​IMG]
     
  18. Meikyu
    Offline

    Meikyu Donator

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2016
    Messages:
    370
    Likes Received:
    1,029
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Lieve
    Level:
    520
    Guild:
    Banana
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    I'm bad at scrolling
     
    Dapper likes this.
  19. GDLee
    Offline

    GDLee Donator

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2015
    Messages:
    789
    Likes Received:
    1,039
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    Cambridge, MA
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    1412
    Guild:
    Acme
  20. Buffy
    Offline

    Buffy Donator

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2015
    Messages:
    632
    Likes Received:
    220
    Gender:
    Male
    IGN:
    Menoetius
    Guild:
    Guardians
    Kressie likes this.

Share This Page