Closed S>16 att 3slot BFC (ez 20+ att)

Discussion in 'Selling' started by Zenoooo, Mar 4, 2019.

  1. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    In cast someone really really really wanna buy it in meso/ws/cs only, I will take 95 ws/cs (or 100) as a/w too (accept less than 21% of the price in b coin).

    Selling in 3 days (72 hours) when the offer hits 17 shoes, 19 cape, or 95 ws/cs.
    (or 18 shoes 20 cape with 10b top-up on my side, but i prob will need time to liquidate my items.)

    a/w is set as:
    16/3 = 19 cape + 5 ws/cs
    or 16/3 = 17 shoes + 2 ws/cs
    or 100 ws/cs.

    c/o 18 PGC by @Teun
    c/o 19 PGC - 8b by @AhLiGaddo

    Test your result today!
    upload_2019-3-9_22-36-10.png

    97B6BA3C-BB63-47AF-9C1B-A3F6D8303719.jpeg
    16 att 3 slot BFC
    (6/5 > 11/4 > 16/3)
    only trading for scrolled equips (cape, shoes, gloves) (trading for one or more of them)

    Top up on either side:
    18 - 20 cape
    16 - 18 shoes
    23 - 24 gloves

    Other trading options:
    A. 16/3 BFC + 14 PGC + 12 sock
    for 33/34/35 att (total att of cape + shoes)

    B. 22 SCG + 16/3 BFC + 14 PGC + 12 sock
    for 23 gloves + 32/33 att cape & shoes

    C. 22 SCG + 16/3 BFC + 14 PGC + 12 sock
    for 21 gloves + 35/36 att cape & shoes

    IM NOT SCROLLING IT AGAIN! IF I DO I WILL GIVE AWAY ALL MY BELONGINGS, AND DROP MY 6/21 EARRINGS AND 11/9 NOSE!

    With top-up on either side:
    Trading for 13 - 15 cape (PGC, BFC, PAC)
    Trading for 11 - 13 shoes (FS, sock)
    Trading 11/4 slot BFC + 14 cape for 16 - 17 cape
    Trading 11/4 slot BFC + 12 sock for 14 - 15 shoes
    Trading 11/4 slot BFC + 22 SCG for 23 gloves
    Trading for 18 - 19 gloves (BWG, SCG, etc.) (low priority)

    E58CC48A-671C-4370-A98A-727C8F3F7D4D.jpeg
    E03A96F1-6760-4666-AB94-4147FBC6D94B.jpeg

    22+ PGC price updated based on:
    1. 24 PGC + 140 ws/cs (500m ea, 70b) = 25 PGC: https://royals.ms/forum/threads/s-25-atk-pgc.121617/
    2. 23 PGC + 70 ws/cs (500m ea, 35b) = 24 PGC: https://royals.ms/forum/threads/s-24-wa-gpc.121738/
    3. 22 PGC + 36.7 ws/cs (300m ea, 11b) = 23 PGC: https://royals.ms/forum/threads/23-attack-pink-gaia-cape.71523/



    If we go blind, and land the 16/3 cape with cs+ws, the probabilities are as follows:

    upload_2019-3-8_18-18-22.png


    And a price list:
    (price in unit of ws/cs, not billion meso)
    upload_2019-3-8_18-19-14.png
    (IMPORTANT NOTE: DO NOT BUY OR SELL EQUIPS BASED ON THE PRICE HERE. )

    upload_2019-3-7_20-19-19.png

    If we go blind, and land the 16/3 cape with cs+ws. Before we see the cape that's successfully scrolled 3 times, the value of the cape is 84.16 ws/cs or 93.69 ws/cs.
    On average we need 3*(cs+ws)/0.6=5*(cs+ws)=10 cs or ws
    We used 10 ws/cs on scrolling, so the value of the 16/3 cape is:
    74.16 ws/cs or 83.69 ws/cs.
    The price of 19 cape is:
    68 ws/cs or 79 ws/cs
    In either case, 16/3 ~= 19 + 5 ws/cs

    Statistics time:
    If we go blind, and land the 16/3 cape with cs+ws, the probabilities are as follows: (price in unit of ws/cs, not billion meso)
    upload_2019-3-7_20-1-33.png
    (IMPORTANT NOTE: DO NOT BUY OR SELL EQUIPS BASED ON THE PRICE HERE. )

    upload_2019-3-7_20-19-19.png

    If we go blind, and land the 16/3 cape with cs+ws. Before we see the cape that's successfully scrolled 3 times, the value of the cape is 62.41 ws/cs or 74.12 ws/cs.
    On average we need 3*(cs+ws)/0.6=5*(cs+ws)=10 cs or ws
    We used 10 ws/cs on scrolling, so the value of the 16/3 cape is:
    52.41 ws/cs or 64.12 ws/cs
    In either case, 16/3 ~= 18 + 5 ws/cs

    Note: I may extend the calculation into a guide showing at certain ATT, how many slot = how many extra ATT
     
    Last edited: Mar 12, 2019
    sids, Styg1an, Johnny and 3 others like this.
  2. JackHarrie
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    JackHarrie Well-Known Member

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    9 attack 4 slot BFC + 2b
     
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  3. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    update.
     
  4. Xem0boyx
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    Xem0boyx Well-Known Member

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    How much u looking for zeno
     
  5. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    gimme ur shoes
     
  6. Filter
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    Riiiichhhhhh
     
  7. Xem0boyx
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    Xem0boyx Well-Known Member

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    Pls giv me a wa 20cape pls
     
  8. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    Would’ve chaos’ed again if I were rich :x

    Buy it and cs pl0x
     
  9. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    update with some statistics
     
    Btkm and Punk like this.
  10. Venin
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    Venin Well-Known Member

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    that's a nice looking normal dist. curve. will be a good visual to show it just for the lols
     
  11. Punk
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    Nicely done on the stats. ~f15
     
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  12. incostancy
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  13. Zenoooo
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    FA9CD0DC-BA0B-4BAA-90DA-E34FA7294C9A.png by @zMel

    From now on I will spend meso on item-mega or something, so that I wont have meso for ws and cs, and I wont scroll it so as to avoid ruining it lol.
    I would wait for half a year, item-mega about it everyday, and see who is less patient, potential buyers or I.
    I am a pleb.


    c/o 18 PGC
     
  14. AhLiGaddo
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    AhLiGaddo Well-Known Member

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    my 19 pgc for your cape + 8b
     
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  15. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    Update c/o and a/w
     
  16. ItsRachel
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    ~imboss
     
  17. Zenoooo
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    Zenoooo Donator

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    bump
    no update.
     
  18. EZFebreezy
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    EZFebreezy Well-Known Member

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    What's your difference on a 20 cape that would beat the current co
     
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  19. Zenoooo
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    Hello, I’m assuming the diff between 19 and 20 to be 20 ws/cs. Then it would be 20 minus less than 36 ws/cs.

    However, I don’t think I would sell it at the current price because according to my calculation I would be losing about 1/4 of its value.
    Chances are that if I don’t get a decent offer in half a year, I would scroll it myself cuz it will be a smaller portion of my assets by then.
    I’m rational and patient.

    Also, if there is other thought about the value of the cape, you are welcome to post it here (which, however, could lead to me scrolling it myself if it’s proven to be a smaller portion of my assets).
     
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  20. AhLiGaddo
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    AhLiGaddo Well-Known Member

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    change of plans. Retract my offer. thanks.
     
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