Are current drop rates correct or did APQ drop rate buff -> debuff mess everything up? VL bons have been way more dry confirmed by screenshots of bons in multiple servers I think it may be from lowering apq rates after valentines? If anyone else has data, please post!
Evidence of declining drop rates. Recent runs there's two where not a single thing worth above the VL pot dropped.
Seems like you've just been unlucky on Nibergen. Even if you look at only that one (which, statistically is already cherry picking) you'd get a Fisher's p-value of 0.23 so not significant. Same for Verg, p is 0.26. Across all bosses you went from 40/86 to 27/76 which is a p value of 0.20. So yes you've been either lucky before or are unlucky lately but it's not enough to conclude that the droprate did change. Of course, you cannot prove that it did not change with these numbers either but unless it was in the patch notes I'd think it wouldn't change without mention. Edit: people going dry are also more likely to think something is wrong so unless many many people across the whole server report this and everyone you know too I wouldn't think too much about this.
Many people are going dry especially in VL which is why I'm making this thread. 40/86 to 27/76 is a significant drop off especially when looking at the column on the right for card 50% drop rate buff. I also made this thread for others to post on and there will be other people posting horrendous data. I also posted 17 VL runs where it's clear the last 2 months have been way more dry than prior.
The boss I farmed had quite low drop rate of a certain item which I started shortly after end of Valentine. For the last 1-2 weeks has been normal to good so, rng?
Okay let's bring the focus back to VL if possible because that's me and people I've talked to's main issue. Does anyone else have data of VL bon SS? In my screenshots shared, this is all from the same server, running weekly 2-3 runs a week. We have many runs where there's only 1 drop, but to note, this hasn't been seen before we have THREE runs since March 13 where not even a CSS 20 dropped. March 13, 2026 - Nothing April 3, Nothing April 11, Nothing If we don't count css 20s then also: May 10, April 26 I'll note all down here: May 10, 2026 2x CSS 20 if we even count this? May 9, 2026 1 VL boot 2 att ( there is only 18 total lines for this one, very very low ) May 2, 2026 1 WS, 1 VL boot, CSS 20 May 2, 2026 1WS, 1 VL boot 2x css 20 May 1, 2026 2 CS 1 Boots April 26, 2026 2x CSS 20 do we even count this? April 25, 2026 CS , CSS 20 April 18, 2026 2 CS, 2 Boot CSS 20 wetwet April 11, nothing April 4, WS. CSS 20 April 4, WS, CSS 20 April 3, nothing Valentine's event stops here February 19th to March 18th https://royals.ms/forum/threads/valentine-2026.254995/ March 14, 2 CS 2 WS 1 boot Wet wet March 13, Nothing February 28, boots, 2 CSS 20 February 27, 1 CS , 3 ws, CSS 20 Wet wet February 21 CS, WS, 3 CSS 20 Valentine's event starts here February 13 4 CS, 1 WS, boots wet wet wet Unfortunately that's the end of consistent SS I have.
