Please can a royals dev answer some questions on probability once and for all?

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by Heidi, Sep 22, 2019.

  1. Shiyui
    Offline

    Shiyui Donator

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2016
    Messages:
    1,285
    Likes Received:
    5,189
    Gender:
    Female
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Shiyui
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Fryslan
    Summon TimK was successful. ~f17

    Just memeing to say that the fabled TimK.exe for scrolling luck is a bust too. We failed five chaos scrolls in a row on his anniversary earring. And the sixth one wiped the item clean. Goodbye my 5b. ~f8

    Edit:

    LOL! I'd be annoyed if we stayed up each night packing apples into boxes instead of having more high quality couple time! Also, protip, we'd duo APQ all day in 2016 in channel 14. Channel 14 best channel. (Don't recommend duo APQ though of course. :p)
     
    Guus, Johnny, ginwolf and 2 others like this.
  2. Eli
    Offline

    Eli Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2013
    Messages:
    3,676
    Likes Received:
    15,455
    Location:
    ht n chill
    IGN:
    Hannako
    Level:
    200
    Guild:
    Oblivion
    All scrolls are 50%. Either they pass or they don't.
     
    Styg1an, Kenny, Soren and 14 others like this.
  3. Dimitri
    Offline

    Dimitri Saint of Horses

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2014
    Messages:
    7,734
    Likes Received:
    10,509
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Demiosa
    Level:
    18x
    Guild:
    UNITREE(D)
    But John has never had access to the new source ! Nor have any of the other admins for that matter.
    For all we know Kevin could've secretly changed dummy scrolling in his new source and nobody but him would know.
     
    NMNA, Cola, xDarkomantis and 5 others like this.
  4. FuminoAya
    Offline

    FuminoAya Donator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2017
    Messages:
    1,722
    Likes Received:
    1,150
    Kev = 13k clean range NL
    xXDestroyer123Xx

    It's a secret. Keep it like that :)
     
  5. MoriForest
    Offline

    MoriForest Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2016
    Messages:
    1,573
    Likes Received:
    12,149
    Country Flag:
  6. Tethys
    Offline

    Tethys Member

    Joined:
    May 23, 2014
    Messages:
    23
    Likes Received:
    4
    Gender:
    Male
    the returns are based on imperfect algorithms and simulated randomness. Not even the devs could necessarily give a definitive answer on what might alter the rates of specific results being produced
     
    Kenny likes this.
  7. Heidi
    Online

    Heidi GM Intern

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2014
    Messages:
    1,247
    Likes Received:
    2,722
    Gender:
    Female
    Location:
    no idea
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    CaptainHeidi
    Level:
    188
    For the purposes of mapleroyals, a pseudo-random number generator is more than adequate.
     
  8. Kenny
    Offline

    Kenny Donator

    Joined:
    Dec 31, 2018
    Messages:
    4,729
    Likes Received:
    5,000
    Country Flag:
    IGN:
    Shadower
    Level:
    200
    Perhaps a experiment is needed :)
    I am looking for funds or scrolls (very cheap scrolls like one hand sword 10%) to conduct a study and test your hypothesis. Even though I think cc, jumping or dummy is simply a placebo, but who knows, you might be surprised brah.
     
  9. Tethys
    Offline

    Tethys Member

    Joined:
    May 23, 2014
    Messages:
    23
    Likes Received:
    4
    Gender:
    Male
    I would certainly agree, I simply wanted to point out that treating human created simulations of randomness as truly random events can lead to erroneous conclusions.
     
  10. TXV
    Offline

    TXV Member

    Joined:
    Oct 14, 2019
    Messages:
    3
    Likes Received:
    4
    Holy sh*t I used to do this back in '08 when I was like 9... I thought I was big brained :X
     
    Heidi likes this.

Share This Page